Wednesday, March 14, 2007

GLOBAL WARMING - THE MYTH AND THE FEEBLE FACT

The most popular thesis fro glabal warming currently is od course Co2 emmissions as a consequence of human endeavours ; in all their diverse manifestations from industry to human and animal metabolism but there is a believe which whether we think it to subversive ior just naive it is a counter theory with regard to regard to the dictum which would hold that our common breathing ,industry,to agriculture etc - all human generated activity or all biological organic and inorganic activity which human beings generate and participate in causing Co2 and thus cause global warming ; factored in to this Co2 emmissions is the is particle pollutant causing the insulation effect.
These two it is commonly held among the scientific community are responsible fro the entire effect we have monitered ib climate change most especially over the past 2 decades .

But less pleasing is the notion thatb global warming and thus our mortality as a speciec is occuring dor reasons not of our making ; that these factors are inevitable and thus fatalistic somehow offends the human psyche .
There are 2 counter theories to these and they are to a degree also counterintuitive,
1 that the earth is actually dimming from lack of solar radiation penetrating the atmosphere because of particle occlusion - pollutants in the upper and lower atmosphere- less penetration of sunlight /energy- which should cause global dimming thus cooling .
2.The reverse of this is that all of the polutants , from Co2 to CFC s and a litany of others cause the canopy / umbrella effect causing warming.

The theory which i'm grappling with at the moment is the one which suggests that global warming /cooling is unrelated to Co2 or human interference but ratherthat it is caused by cosmic radiation. If I have this correctly the theory would suggest that the sun and its magnetic field is in a state of flux; constantly changing both the strength and force of its magnetic field , but changing with a periodic regularity.In the quiescent phase the mangetic field is less active and therfore is incapable of deflecting cosmic radiation which enters the atmosphere causing ionic particles ( chlorine )which eventually coalesce and form the substrate for droples of H2o - ; hence clouds are formed and these deflect the suns rays and cause the earth to cool; the obverse occurs when the suns magnetic field is more active - the cosmic radiation is attracted by the sun's gravitational

force , less ioned particles enter the atmosphere and less cloud formation ensues and the earth , uprotected - gets h

This theory , so its proponents would hold , is supported by the dendrologists who it is sugested support this in terms of alternating spurts of growth and dormancy which they observe in the the rings of trees,and they attest that these periods of extended and retarded growth correspond with the Sun Spots.
The theory holds that the sun displays black spots on a regular and periodic frequency , and that these spots represent solar magma errupting from the centre of the sun causing a powerful change in the force of the suns gravity and a reversal of the magnetic field in the region of the sun spot.( Black Spot)
We are apparetnly now emerging from a period of activity -less black spots-less interference /deflection of cosmic radiation so the earth should be warming.
The theory holds that more black spots ( increased magnetic solar activity ) = more deflection of cosmic radiation = less ionisation = less cloud = less occsulion =Global Warming
The proponents of this theory would suggest that the last Mini Ice age occured as a consequence of a change in the Solar magnetic fields .(inactivity.) many of them over it's vast surface causing less deflection of cosmic radiation - more ionisation- more H2o percipitation..more cloud..more occlusion .. cooling.
This Mini Ice age is depicted in Dickens with people skating on the Thames which is frozen over ..
Some would go so far with this theory but come to the reverse conclusions ie more black spots = less solar radiation =less heat/ energy reaching earth =cooler earth ; So no one is really convinced that this is a viable thesis other than to admit thatcosmic radiation exists and that solar wind exists and that a degree of ionisation does occur from cosmic radiation , but the results of any reasearch seems inconclusive and as yet unconvincing.

So there's my quandry .GW - who dunnit !
But Ive left out the Ghia belief which holds that the earth is just a single organism - like a coral reef - in which we ( humans ) are just participants ; And this belief holds that the earth has a capacity , as do all living things , to reorganise itself , regenerate and heal.And that it ochestrates these biological expediencies for its own protection. For example it is suggested that the earth 'allows ' certain marine organisms to proliferate - the red tide- to cause release of gases to - and here I'm vague - is it to augment the depleted ozone layer and protect these organisms form ultra violet radiation and additinally allow the organisms to thrive , cause Co2 release , cloud to cause cloud formation or to cause Co2 formation - cloud - cooling etc.Then again would not the greenhouse effect prevail and cause warming?
Like all theories once you posit it you have to take the flak of subjeting it to scrutiny and analysis ; imperical evidence is scanty .
It seems that here more than anywhere else that the Chaos Theory ( forget macro enocomics)prevails and nothing utimately can be predictable because all of the contributing factors and their interactions and the sequellae of these reactions and interactions are unknown or as yet undetermined , or are perhaps unknowable and thus utterly unpredictable.

So whether GW is due to our collective breathing , farting , burning , working , manufacturing , farming or whether its just an inevitable cyclical thing related to a state of flux in the suns magnetic fields or whether Ghia will nurse itself back to rude good health again despite continuous anthropomorphicly perceived insult - its all to play for and indeed pay for.
I would welcome any inforamtive view on any opf this . I am inured to ridicule or satire but if you must ..

There would have to be a counter theory to all of the above and to quote the greatest and most lovable of chaoists - Groucho Markx - the reverse of all of the above could of be equally true .
And then of course there's God , the perfidity of the human condition; original sin , third secret of Fatima ..GW Bush..CIA FBI ..BBC..BB Kink Matt Buzby ..and Digg it.. digg it.. Dorris Day..- John Lennon

1 comment:

Anonymous said...

You write very well.